About 90 per cent of children in Bhutan exposed to climate hazards, UNICEF report finds

03 July 2026
Residents in floodwaters at Amochu Temporary Settlement after heavy rainfall
KP Sharma/Kuensel Residents work to clear floodwaters at the Amochu Temporary Settlement in Phuentsholing after heavy rainfall inundated roads and homes, displacing families and disrupting daily life.

THIMPHU, July 3, 2026 – Nearly 9 in 10 children in Bhutan are exposed to at least one climate hazard, with drought emerging as the most widespread threat, according to the Children’s Climate Risk Report 2026 released by UNICEF.

The report draws on the latest available data to assess children’s exposure to key climate hazards including droughts, floods, extreme heat, fires, and storms. It also provides new insights into how multiple risks overlap and affect children, as well as the essential services they depend on.

In Bhutan, about 85.7 per cent of children are exposed to drought, largely linked to changing rainfall patterns. Overall, 89.6 per cent of children are exposed to at least one climate hazard, while 19.6 per cent are exposed to two hazards.

Although fewer children experience the most extreme combinations of hazards, around 32 per cent are exposed to moderately high levels of combined climate risks. Children facing multiple risks are particularly vulnerable, as these impacts can compound and become more difficult to manage.

The report highlights that children’s climate risk is shaped not only by exposure to hazards but also by their level of vulnerability. In Bhutan, several factors increase children’s susceptibility to climate shocks. Only 4 per cent of children are covered by social protection programmes, early childhood education enrolment remains low at 38 per cent, and more than 1,300 children require inclusive education services. In addition, a large proportion of children experience violent forms of discipline, which affects their wellbeing and resilience.

These challenges reduce children’s ability to cope with and recover from climate related hazards such as droughts, floods, and heatwaves, increasing the risk of long-term impacts on their health, education, and wellbeing.

“The increasing frequency of floods, landslides, windstorms, and other climate-induced disasters across Bhutan underscores the urgent need to place children at the Centre of disaster risk reduction and climate adaptation efforts,” the Director General, Department of Local Governance and Disaster Management (DLGDM), Karma Galay said. “By strengthening early warning systems, preparedness, resilient public services, and local response capacities, we can better protect children and ensure that no child is left behind in the face of a changing climate. DLGDM remains committed to working with UNICEF and all partners to build a safer and more resilient Bhutan for every child.”

The report has come at a time when Bhutan is experiencing intense monsoon rainfall, highlighting the growing frequency and severity of climate-related hazards.

“The report provides critical evidence to guide planning and investment in services that protect children from climate risks,” UNICEF Bhutan Representative Rushnan Murtaza said. “Recent heavy rainfall and flooding across parts of the country are a reminder that these risks are not distant, and that children are already feeling the impacts. UNICEF remains committed to working with the Royal Government of Bhutan and partners to ensure that every child in Bhutan is protected and able to thrive in the face of a changing climate.”

The report calls for urgent need for stronger investment in climate resilient services and systems. Strengthening water, sanitation, health, education, and social protection services will be essential to reduce risks and protect children from the growing impacts of climate change. Without timely action, the escalating frequency and severity of climate hazards will intensify risks to children, placing greater strain on families, communities, and national systems.

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Note to Editors:

Data for this analysis is part of the UNICEF global report Children's Climate Risk Report 2026. Additional information available here

The Children’s Climate Risk Report 2026

Bhutan

The Children’s Climate Risk Report 2026 uses the latest available data to map children’s exposure to the most frequent climate threats, including droughts, extreme heat, fires, heatwaves, riverine floods, sand and dust storms, and tropical storms. For the first time, the report reveals exactly where – and how intense – multiple and overlapping climate threats are affecting children and the essential social services they rely on, and how governments can take concrete actions to respond.

The report also presents a framework to analyse the different types of risks children face, based on their exposure to climate shocks and their vulnerability, determined by access to essential social services such as healthcare, clean water, education, and more. The approach can be applied in different ways, from looking at risks related to individual or multiple climate hazards to examining risks across sectors, revealing the threats children face across different contexts.

Without urgent efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, climate hazards will grow more frequent and severe, placing even greater strain on government budgets and systems, threatening children's well-being, the report warns.

This analysis can help governments and decision-makers plan better and invest more effectively in resilient services.

Single Hazard Exposure: The single hazard exposure assesses individual climate hazards, covering riverine floods, coastal floods, droughts (agricultural and meteorological), tropical storms, heatwaves, extreme heat, fires and sand and dust storm, as well as the two climate-sensitive hazards of vector borne disease (malaria as a proxy) and air pollution (measured as exposure to particulate matter PM 2.5).

The graph shows the percentage of children exposed to single hazards. As per the data, 100% of children in the country are exposed to air pollution (exposed to the particulate matter PM 2.5, threshold set by WHO) which includes all children in Bhutan. By climate hazards, most children in Bhutan are exposed to droughts.

Table 2: No. of children exposed to hazard combination

 

Hazard CombinationNo. of exposed Children
Drought (agricultural and meteorological)

135,392

Drought + Fire

24,993

Drought + Heatwave

7,187

River Flood + Drought

5,921

Fire

5,586

Heatwave

1,654

River Flood + Drought + Fire

1,061

Drought + Heatwave + Fire

544

River Flood

530

River Flood + Drought + Heatwave

182

River Flood + Fire

140

Multi-hazard exposure: According to the Global Child Hazard Database, 89.6% of children exposed to at least 1 hazard are considering climate hazards, 19.63% to at least 2 hazards, and less than 1% of children are exposed to at least 3 hazards.

Percentage of children exposed to multi-hazard
Multi-hazard exposurePercentage  
Percentage of Children Exposed to at-least 1 hazard (Droughts)89.6%
Percentage of Children Exposed to at-least 2 hazards (Droughts + Fire)19.63%
Percentage of Children Exposed to at-least 3 hazards (Droughts + Fire + heatwaves/ riverine floods)0.9%

Overlapping hazards: The compound effects of two hazards, such as heatwaves and drought and floods, for which children are exposed at same time.

Table 2 shows that 135,392 children in Bhutan are exposed to drought only. The figure falls to 24,993 when drought is overlapped with fire. When drought, fire and heatwave overlap, the figure comes to 7,187 and 5,921 when riverine flood is overlapped with drought.

Multi-hazard intensity: Multi-hazard intensity is also expressed as percentiles, comparing exposure of children to multiple hazards at very high intensities across the world. The table below shows that 32% of children are exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (75th Percentile) followed by Multi-Hazard Intensity (80th Percentile) at 25.54%. Equal percentage of children are exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity at 16 and 15% when measured at 85th and 90th percentile. The intensity of multi-Hazard is low for Bhutan and starts from minimal from 75th percentile which means 75th Percent of children lives below multiple hazards as compared to elsewhere and retains even at 80%. This further diminishes as we move to 95th percentile.

 

Multi-hazard exposurePercentage  
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (75th Percentile)32.14%
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (80th Percentile)25.54%
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (85th Percentile)16.14%
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (90th Percentile)15.13%

Vulnerability: The report also presents a framework to analyse the different types of risks children face, based on their exposure to climate shocks and their vulnerability, determined by access to essential social services such as healthcare, clean water, education, and more. The approach can be applied in different ways, from looking at risks related to individual or multiple climate hazards to examining risks across sectors, revealing the threats children face across different contexts.

Vulnerability includes the actual values of vulnerability indicators comparable across countries. The most vulnerable are children in Bhutan covered by cash transfer at 4% only, followed by under - 5 mortality at 17.17 per 1000 live births.

The girls and women of all ages who were first married or in union before age 18 is at 9% which still shows the existence of vulnerability.

As per the Annual Education Statistics Report 2024, only 38% of children are enrolled in ECCD leaving other children 3-5 years old to vulnerability.

The children who need special education are 1,326 as of 2024 EMIS and more being identified.

Percentage of children aged 1 to 14 years who experienced any violent discipline method in the past month as per the National Health Survey is as high as 82.8% which shows high vulnerability. Similarly, 29.8% of mothers/caretakers of children aged 1-14 years who believe that physical punishment is needed to bring up, raise, or educate a child properly.

Table 4: Indicators showing vulnerability of children in Bhutan

Indicator

Value

Children under five with a stunting z-score less than -2 SD

17.87%

Percentage of women aged 20-24 years who were first married or in union before age 18

9%

Percentage of children under 5 covered by social protection

4%

Under 5 Mortality (per 1000 live births)

17.17

ECCD enrolment

38%

No. of children enrolled in Special Education

1326

Monastic Education Learners

7944

Percentage of mothers/caretakers of children aged 1-14 years who believe that physical punishment is needed to bring up, raise, or educate a child properly

29.8%

Percentage of children aged 1 to 14 years who experienced any violent discipline method in the past month

82.8%

 

Annexures.

Single Hazard Exposure with data source

Indicators  ValueData source
Children (Under 18) Population

204,635

Worldpop, 2024
Hazard Exposure Score

2.11

 
Percentage of Children Exposed to Riverine Floods

3.84

Index of /ftp/jrc-opendata/CEMS-GLOFAS/flood_hazard
Percentage of Children Exposed to Droughts

85.68

FAO Agriculture Stress Index System (ASIS) |FAO, GIEWS, Earth Observation, Seasonal Global Indicators, METOP, NDVI, ASIS, VHI, VCI, ECWMF, Agricultural Stress Index, NDVI Anomaly, Vegetation Condition Index, Vegetation Health Index, Estimated Precipitation, Precipitation Anomaly Map
Percentage of Children Exposed to Agricultural Droughts

6.64

FAO Agriculture Stress Index System (ASIS) |FAO, GIEWS, Earth Observation, Seasonal Global Indicators, METOP, NDVI, ASIS, VHI, VCI, ECWMF, Agricultural Stress Index, NDVI Anomaly, Vegetation Condition Index, Vegetation Health Index, Estimated Precipitation, Precipitation Anomaly Map
Percentage of Children Exposed to Meteorological Droughts (spei)

83.7

TerraClimate - Climatology Lab
Percentage of Children Exposed to Meteorological Droughts (spi)

29.74

TerraClimate - Climatology Lab
Percentage of Children Exposed to Heatwave Frequency

3.35

ECMWF
Percentage of Children Exposed to Heatwave Duration

2.04

ECMWF
Percentage of Children Exposed to Heatwave Severity

0.45

ECMWF
Percentage of Children Exposed to Fires

15.84

NASA FIRMS
Percentage of Children Exposed to Fire Frequency

5.06

NASA FIRMS
Percentage of Children Exposed to Fire Intensity

11.35

NASA FIRMS
Percentage of Children Exposed to Air Pollution (PM2.5)

100

ACAG
Percentage of Children Exposed to Malaria

3.71

MAP

 

Multi-hazard Exposure with link to data source

Multi-hazard exposurePercentage  Data source
Percentage of Children Exposed to at-least 1 hazard

89.6

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Percentage of Children Exposed to at-least 2 hazards

19.63

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Percentage of Children Exposed to at-least 3 hazards

0.9

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (75th Percentile)

32.14

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (80th Percentile)

25.54

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (85th Percentile)

16.14

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (90th Percentile)

15.13

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Percentage of Children Exposed to Multi-Hazard Intensity (95th Percentile)

0.09

UNICEF Data Warehouse

 

Vulnerability with link to data source

Indicator  Percentage  Data source
Percentage of children with DTP 1 immunization coverage

98

WHO/UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (WUENIC)
Percentage of children with DTP 3 immunization coverage

98

WHO/UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (WUENIC)
Percentage of mothers with skilled attendant

98.5

Joint UNICEF-WHO Database on Skilled Birth Attendance 2025
Percentage of population with access to electricity

100

World Bank
Children under five with a stunting z-score less than -2 SD

17.87

UNICEF/WHO/World Bank Joint Malnutrition Estimates
Proportion of population with access to at least basic water

99.55

WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme
Proportion of population with access to at least basic sanitation

86.84

WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme
Proportion of population with access to basic hygiene

94.52

WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme
Percentage of women aged 20-24 years who were first married or in union before age 18

9

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Percentage of children under 5 are covered by social protection

4

UNICEF Data Warehouse
Under 5 Mortality (per 1000 live births)

17.17

UNICEF Data Warehouse

 

Technical note:

To better understand the potential severity and frequency of climate threats throughout a child's life, the methodology uses a probabilistic model based on a 100-year return period. This approach captures extreme climate events that are highly likely to occur in any given year and highlights the most significant hazards children are exposed to.

 

This report includes updated data and models covering a broader range of hazards and vulnerabilities, compared to UNICEF’s 2021 The climate crisis is a child rights crisis report. The analysis now encompasses most countries and territories – including Small Island Developing States – and utilises a pixel-level multi-hazard approach, providing higher-resolution data at a gridded scale. Hazard data are now available for areas as small as 100 square kilometers in each country, with some hazards mapped at a 100-metre resolution.

 

*Landlocked Developing Countries (LLDCs) are developing nations that lack territorial access to the sea. Often, the development of LLDCs is constrained by isolation from world markets and high trade costs.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Media contacts

Sonam Pelden
Communication Officer
UNICEF Bhutan
Tel: +975 77714217

Additional resources

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