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UNITED NATIONS CHILDREN'S FUND TERMS OF REFERENCE for the consultancy to support UNICEF and Ministry of Emergency Situations in implementation of Disaster Risk Analysis exercise




for the consultancy to support UNICEF and Ministry of Emergency Situations in implementation of Disaster Risk Analysis exercise


Background and Context:


Due to diverse geological and climatic features, Azerbaijan is highly prone to natural hazards. In the past decade the occurrence of hazards, particularly associated with hydro-meteorological conditions, and the subsequent materialization of disaster risks has become more frequent and severe. Azerbaijan has a history of devastating disasters that have caused significant economic and human losses across the sub-region. These disasters could have been prevented or their impacts mitigated. A response oriented approach is habitually the only one applied by the government. Chronic risks are addressed through many uncoordinated sectoral initiatives and information on agency activity remains scattered.


Some of the key building blocks of community resilience in Azerbaijan, which affect both a community's vulnerability to disaster and its adaptive capacity to bounce back, include social and economic status; individual, household, and community knowledge of risk and attitudes towards risk management, including self-reliance and self-help; and, the involvement of civil society and its collaboration with government in planning, response, and recovery.


Children have a greater vulnerability than adults to hazards. Certain personal and social characteristics of a child, such as his or her geographic location, family structure, socio-economic status, physical and mental ability, stage of development, and ethnicity, intersect and affect his or her experience in disaster events. What's more, children with disabilities may experience amplified risk in disasters due to physical, psychological, and educational vulnerability.


The UNICEF Regional Office for Central Eastern Europe and CIS region has developed Disaster Risk Analysis, which is a comparative analysis of the nature and extent of risks linked to different kinds of hazards and vulnerable conditions that could harm people, assets, livelihoods, infrastructure and services in a given locality. The result of risk assessment is an evaluation of the likelihood and magnitude of potential losses as well as an understanding of why these losses occur and what impact they have. Common results of risk assessments (besides the risk analysis report) are hazard and risk maps, risk matrices that compare and rank risks from different hazards, scenarios and prioritized action-plans for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR).


Disaster Risk Reduction aims to make populations safer; and disaster risk analysis is a critical step in DRR. Disaster risk analyses show where, how and what kind of risks are of highest priority within a local government area, so that local government staff and stakeholders can plan targeted and effective disaster risk reduction activities. Without understanding the highest risks faced by a population, and their capacity to cope with these risks, it is not possible to make effective plans and development decisions that promote the safety of the population. Therefore, the results of risk analyses should be a fundamental reference point for local government development and planning, policy and resource allocation.

It is important to see Disaster Risk Analysis as an opportunity to raise citizens’ awareness of disaster risks but also to establish a dialogue about their priority concerns. Ideally a risk analysis offers opportunities for vulnerable groups to participate and communicate their experience of disasters risks and related issues that affect them in order to establish viable and relevant solutions. This includes the need to engage with those who will not only be most affected by future events but also participate in the making of that future i.e. children and young people.


Hazards and even more so vulnerability change over time. Therefore risk analysis is not a one-off exercise but an ongoing process that needs to feed into decision and policy-making. This process requires the participation of different sectors and parts of society to result in a shared understanding of what the risks are and agreed priorities for risk reduction. Though it is challenging risk analysis can help to develop better coordination between different sectors such as health, education, child protection or social services, emergency services and water and irrigation. The active commitment and leadership of local governments is important to maintain momentum and support all stakeholders throughout the process, as well as to implement recommendations from the analysis.


Azerbaijan is one of the pilot countries in the region, which will start to implement this DRA approach and this is part UNICEF Azerbaijan Country Office’s contribution to the Regional Knowledge and Leadership Agenda on Disaster Risk Reduction.


The Analysis will be conducted in Gabala district of Azerbaijan, which is proposed given its seismic prone location and high vulnerability due to high density of population and being a tourist site. Its population is 98,600 persons (approx. 34% are children under 18) with density – 64 per sq km. it consists of capital Gabala town (13,540 persons) and 18 settlements and villages


Purpose of the assignment


Since the notion of Disaster Risk Analysis is completely new in Azerbaijan, this consultancy will support the first phase of the UNICEF Azerbaijan’s work in disaster risk analysis. Under overall guidance of the supervisor, the consultant will support the following three activities, which will pave the ground for future in-depth partnership on policy and sub-national (district) level implementation:


1.      Facilitate the local working group to conduct analysis of multi-hazard risk including hazard patterns, population vulnerabilities and government capacities in one selected municipality at risk of natural disasters, which includes an analysis of the particular risk faced by children and their families;

2.      Facilitate the follow up with local authorities and relevant ministries on risk analysis and risk informed strategic planning, including support with necessary data collection and research;

3.      Contribute to advocacy for nation-wide adoption and implementation of the tool.


Major tasks to be accomplished:


· Support preparatory work for the DRA workshop, including administrative and logistical arrangements (venue, printing, supplies, etc);

· Assume specific facilitation role during the workshop as agreed with international expert;

· Ensure immediate follow-up to the workshop, including preparing draft report, disseminating materials, DRA action plan, etc;

· In consultation with local authorities, develop terms of reference for working group;

· Facilitate organization of regular working group meetings and undertake follow-up as needed (e.g. preparation of minutes);

· Facilitate the risk analysis process, including timely implementation of key activities (e.g. data collection) and development of specific outputs (e.g. DRA report);

· Keep record of key milestones (meetings, activities, outputs);

· Facilate the working group in finalization of final Disaster Risk Analysis Report;

· Contribute to advocacy and awareness-raising around DRA;

· Develop a short report on lessons learnt/good practices related to DRA process;


Outcomes and deliverables:


Monthly progress reports on the tasks accomplished to be submitted to the contract supervisor by the end of each month for payment to be processed.




This consultancy is planned for 7 months from 26 May 2014 until 26 December 2014. The estimated total number of consultancy days is 15 days per month;


This consultancy will require extensive visits to Gabala (maximum 10 days per month) to support the working group..


Qualifications or specialized knowledge/experience required:


· University Degree in Social Science, Statistics, or related field

· 5-10 years of experience of working with international technical assistance providers.

· Strong technical knowledge in applied statistics and research methods and ability to apply it in different situations.

· Understanding of the major data issues as well as capacity gaps in data collection/ analysis and ability to deal with sensitive data issues with tact and diplomacy.

· Understanding of and experience in Disaster Risk Reduction and Preparedness

· Native Azerbaijani; fluent English.



Interested individual should send:

a)      Resume;

b)      References of previous relevant work;


in a sealed envelope/email to:

Human Resources

United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF)

Dalga Plaza, 3rd floor

24 Neftchilar Avenue, AZ1095

Baku, Azerbaijan

or send the documents mentioned above electronically  to


All applications will be treated with strict confidentiality. UNICEF is an equal opportunity employer.


UNICEF is mandated by the United Nations General Assembly to advocate for the protection of children's rights, to help meet their basic needs and to expand their opportunities to reach their full potential.


Deadline 19 May 2014, 18:00 hours GMT+4








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