Impact of the crisis on children
Children and women in many countries are likely to be severely affected by the economic crisis, and those already most vulnerable are likely to be the hardest hit.
The most immediate impact is being felt through increasing unemployment in poor households, many of which were already facing unusually high food prices.
These threats will be compounded where governments, facing tightening budgets, reduce expenditures on health and education, shifting the burden of service provision to these already struggling households.
For example, during the Asian financial crisis, Thailand reduced education and public health spending by 6 and 9 percent respectively compared to the previous year and Indonesian public health expenditure fell by 7 percent during the first year.(1),(2)
While the full impacts of this crisis on children are still unfolding, past economic crises give an indication of how severe the impacts may be. During the Asian financial crisis, Indonesia saw significant declines in school enrolment among the rural poor, as the percentage of 7-12 year olds not enrolled in school doubled from 6 to 12 percent.(3) Where public services are cut, young girls are at particular risk of being taken out of school to work or care for the sick and elderly.
The greatest impact, however, may be felt in children’s health.(4)
During the 1989-1990 economic crisis in Peru, infant mortality increased by 2.5 percent, resulting in approximately 17,000 additional child deaths. During Mexico’s economic crisis in the 1990s, the under-five mortality rates rose 7 percent above expected levels.
Initial indications suggest that the impacts of the current crisis are likely to be even more severe. Economic growth in developing countries in 2009 is expected to be 4 percent lower than in 2008,(5) and the World Bank projects that in addition to the 130-155 million people pushed into poverty by the soaring food and fuel prices in 2008, another 53 million people will be living on less than $2 a day.(6)
With estimates suggesting that a 1 percentage point contraction in the economies of developing countries leads to as many as 40,000 additional infant deaths, without an adequate response to the crisis the consequences for children could be dire.(7)
For references, please visit UNICEF’s global website.
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Newsline - Financial crisis